Middle East tensions drive increase in oil prices, says Reuters analysis.

Oil Prices Rise Amid Middle East Tensions

Concerns over Middle East Crisis Grow

Oil prices saw a slight uptick on Thursday, following a $1 increase per barrel in the previous session. Investors are on edge as the Middle East crisis intensifies, with potential involvement from Iran, OPEC’s third-largest oil producer.

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Market Indicators

Brent crude futures inched up 5 cents to $90.53 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 4 cents at $86.25 a barrel.

Geopolitical Tensions Drive Prices

The recent escalation of violence in the Middle East, particularly the killing of three sons of a Hamas leader in an Israeli airstrike in Gaza, has heightened concerns about potential supply disruptions. Ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas show little progress, adding to market uncertainty.

Impact of Rate Expectations

Market strategist Yeap Jun Rong notes that geopolitical risks in the Middle East are influencing oil prices, offsetting recent shifts in rate expectations in the U.S. This could lead to longer periods of tight monetary policy, affecting economic growth and oil demand.

Concerns Over Inflation and Rate Cuts

Minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve reveal worries about stagnant inflation progress, prompting investors to reconsider expectations of a June rate cut. With stronger-than-expected consumer inflation data, a rate cut may be more likely in September, impacting oil prices.

Continued Uncertainty in the Middle East

The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, remain a key factor driving oil prices higher. Concerns about potential Iranian retaliation and escalating conflict pose risks to oil supply.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Oil tankers sail along Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia August 12, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo

Future Outlook and Reports to Watch

Analysts are closely monitoring potential developments in the Middle East crisis and their impact on oil supply. Additionally, upcoming reports from OPEC and the International Energy Agency will provide further insights into the oil market’s direction.

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